Nikita Mashtakov vs Lucca Helguera Casado Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Mashtakov has a superior second serve performance, winning 45.08% of points compared to Casado's 40.15%. Could this give Mashtakov the upper hand in tight games?
• Mashtakov excels in return games, especially on the opponent's second serve, winning 49.32% of points, while Casado wins 44.93%. This suggests Mashtakov may have an advantage in breaking serve more frequently.
• On first serve returns, Casado slightly outperforms Mashtakov, winning 33.33% over Mashtakov's 31.71%. However, how significant is this margin in match outcomes?
• Under pressure, both players are similar, with Casado saving breakpoints at a rate of 50% and Mashtakov at 51.61%. Marginal pressure handling may not be a decisive factor.
• Over the past year, Mashtakov has a higher match win percentage of 58.49% compared to Casado's 47.27%, suggesting recent form favors Mashtakov.
• Casado's best surface is Clay with a 37% win rate, while Mashtakov performs best on Hard courts, winning 58% of matches. Surface preference might influence the match outcome.
• Both players primarily compete at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, but Mashtakov's 59.62% win rate is stronger than Casado's 47.27%.
• Casado has faced higher-ranked opponents on average (rank 114.98) compared to Mashtakov's opponents (rank 340.28), potentially offering Casado experience against tougher competition.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Casado has a slight edge, winning 46% of such sets compared to Mashtakov's 44%.
• Both players are nearly even in break point conversion, with Casado converting 38.46% and Mashtakov 39.09%. This indicates neither player has a clear advantage in crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

When considering recent performance metrics, Mashtakov demonstrates a slight edge in second serve effectiveness and return game, which are crucial components for gaining momentum in a match. This suggests that Mashtakov can apply pressure on Casado's serve more effectively.

However, Casado's experience against higher-caliber opponents could play a role, especially if the match becomes tightly contested, as evidenced by Casado's marginally better performance in deciding sets.

Taking into account the surface preferences, Mashtakov's strong record on Hard courts gives them a strategic advantage if the match is played on this surface type, whereas Casado might struggle.

Overall, while Casado's experience against stronger opponents and slightly better performance in clutch moments could provide some challenge, Mashtakov's consistent recent form and strengths in serve and return games position them as the more likely winner of this upcoming match.